Wednesday, May 09, 2007

Election update

Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money... McDowell opens his big mouth! Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money, Bertie's money....

Nothing much else bar SF changing their position on corporate tax....

2 comments:

Jim said...

Saw this on RTE website:

"Bad news for Govt parties in poll

There is further bad news for the Government parties in a Millward Brown IMS poll to be published in the Irish Independent tomorrow.

The poll, which was taken last Wednesday and Thursday, shows Fiannal Fail down 3 points to 35%, Fine Gael up 3 to 26%, Labour at 13% up 1, the PDs 3% down 1, the Greens 5% down 1, Sinn Féin 10% up 2 and Independent and others unchanged at 8%.

Our Political Corespondent says that the trend in this poll - if it continues to polling day in ten days' time - would see Fine Gael and Labour outstripping Fianna Fáil and the PDs, even without the support of the Green Party.
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Surveys from this firm have in the past been said to overestimate Fianna Fáil and underestimate Fine Gael support.

Just before the last election, Millward Brown IMS gave Fianna Fáil 50%, ent against the eventual outcome of just over 42%."


But my first thought was: lies, damn lies and statistics.
I can't remember which comedian it was who made the point that we should not take opinion polls too seriously; they can never represent a good cross section of any population. After all, you're dealing with the type of people who, when they see some guy with a clipboard, are too stupid to avoid him.

John The Bad said...

I put little fate in polls - they only work for bigger parties, a error margin of +/- 3% means that you really have no idea how the likes of the Greens or SF are faring.